26 Jun · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1533
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Langer
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)