26 Jun · 18:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1486
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sochor
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1492
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.