26 Jun · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1518
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vidourek
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1507
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.