26 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1480
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bartosz
BB
🇨🇿Bilski Bartosz
ELO 1488
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Bartosz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.