27 Jun · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1467
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sebl
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H89-59
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.