27 Jun · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1536
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H16-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.