27 Jun · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Koutnik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+101
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)