27 Jun · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1425
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1536
FormLWLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+111
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)