27 Jun · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chaloupka
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1525
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+46
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.