27 Jun · 20:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1623
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sikora
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1576
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.