27 Jun · 21:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1617
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1623
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H23-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.