27 Jun · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1489
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1538
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+49
H2H19-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.