27 Jun · 22:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1570
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1611
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H12-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.