27 Jun · 23:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1559
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1570
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H71-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.