27 Jun · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1489
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1510
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H23-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.