27 Jun · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1475
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+96
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)