27 Jun · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1533
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1611
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H28-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-18)