27 Jun · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1617
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Niezgoda
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1576
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H30-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.