27 Jun · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1602
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Trnka
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1465
FormLLLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+137
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)