28 Jun · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1550
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cousin
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1442
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H23-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-21)