28 Jun · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1541
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Fiklik
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1537
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.