28 Jun · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1475
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vintr
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1534
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Vintr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)