28 Jun · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1529
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1586
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)