28 Jun · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1484
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1586
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+102
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)