28 Jun · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1586
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H15-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.