28 Jun · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vodal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1455
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+102
H2H27-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-26)