28 Jun · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1455
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1529
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)