28 Jun · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1549
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1625
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)