28 Jun · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1521
FormWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kulisek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1481
FormLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+40
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.