28 Jun · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1498
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Holik
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1545
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Holik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.