28 Jun · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1515
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+34
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.