28 Jun · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1578
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1485
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+93
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)