28 Jun · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1544
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1515
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.