28 Jun · 17:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1467
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H21-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.