28 Jun · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1545
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Holik
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Holik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)