28 Jun · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1599
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kulisek
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1570
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H13-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.