28 Jun · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1406
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zahradka
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1486
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H72-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-55)