28 Jun · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1368
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tlusty
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1447
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)