28 Jun · 21:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1561
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fiklik
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1551
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H14-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.