28 Jun · 22:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1770
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kadavy
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1703
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H76-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-40)