28 Jun · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1599
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kulisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1551
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+48
H2H30-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.