28 Jun · 19:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1566
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Masternak
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1560
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Masternak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~81 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H60-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.