29 Jun · 09:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1426
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1628
FormWLWWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+202
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)