29 Jun · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1442
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tlusty
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1466
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Tlusty
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~85 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.