29 Jun · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1553
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sykora
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1466
FormWLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H34-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-26)