29 Jun · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1413
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Matousch
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1332
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Matousch
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)