29 Jun · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1628
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hnizdil
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1618
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.