29 Jun · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1442
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1553
FormLWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~84 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+111
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)