29 Jun · 10:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1553
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Vodal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1426
FormLLLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H28-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-26)