29 Jun · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1455
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1509
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.